TIP THE SCALEBLUE

Races Your giving Methodology About

Races Your giving Methodology About

Theme

Get the races that need you most

A short email when the rankings shift. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Email address

Tip the Scale Blue: where your help counts most in 2026. Polls from Ballotpedia, ratings from Cook, Sabato and Inside Elections, money from the FEC, photos from Wikimedia Commons.

See an error? Let us know

California 6th District · House

Richard Pan (D)vsKevin Kiley (Ind.)

Election Day · Nov 3, 2026

Score updated Oct 14, 2026

Read more on Ballotpedia

663IMPORTANT

Likely Pan, but not locked up.

Forecasters: Likely D · Latest poll: Pan +4 · Kiley is the incumbent · $359k vs $2.1M cash on hand

ShareBluesky Threads Facebook Make a card

Priority Score Breakdown

Featured Poll

Bullfinch GroupPaid for by The Independent Center2026-07-16

D 39%D+4.0Kiley 35%

Candidates

Richard Pan

Democrat

39%

Donate Volunteer

Kevin Kiley

Independent· Incumbent

35%

War Chest (FEC)

Pan

$359k

Kiley

$2.1M

Cash on hand, most recent FEC filing.

Expert Ratings

Cook PoliticalCookLikely D

Sabato's Crystal BallSabatoLikely D

Inside ElectionsIELean D

Make a card

Share this race on Instagram, in your stories or in a group chat.

I'm backing

Top races in California

California's 22nd District
Villegas vs. Valadao
Lean D
California's 48th District
Wilpert vs. Desmond
Lean D
California's 13th District
Gray vs. Lincoln
Lean D
California's 45th District
Tran vs. Vo
Likely D
California's 37th District
Mota vs. Kamlager-Dove
Safe D
California's 7th District
Matsui vs. Vang
Safe D
California's 11th District
Wiener vs. Chan
Safe D
California's 12th District
Joyce vs. Simon
Safe D
California's 2nd District
Huffman vs. Littau
Safe D
California's 34th District
Gonzales-Torres vs. Gomez
Safe D

42 more California races on the full list.

Top races in the country

Michigan Senate
El-Sayed vs. Rogers
Lean D
Iowa Senate
Hinson vs. Turek
Toss-up
Ohio Senate (special)
Husted vs. Brown
Toss-up
Maine Senate
Jackson vs. Collins
Toss-up
Ohio's 7th District
Poindexter vs. Miller
Toss-up
Alaska Senate
Peltola vs. Sullivan
Toss-up