Angela Nixon (D)vsAshley Moody (R)+1 other

Special Election · Nov 3, 2026

Score updated Oct 14, 2026

Priority Score Breakdown

D 41%R+11.0R 52%

Ashley Moody

Republican· Appointed

52%

Progressive votes: 1.06%

Angela Nixon

Democrat

41%

WFP ORECUVMP

Neil Gillespie

Independent

Nixon

$265k

Moody

$8.5M

Cash on hand, most recent FEC filing.

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Pollster	Paid for by	Date	D%	R%	Margin
Stetson University	None listed	2026-10-09	41	52	R+11.0
St. Pete Polls	Florida Politics	2026-10-07	44.9	46.8	R+1.9
YouGov	None listed	2026-10-05	44	49	R+5.0
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	Telemundo/WTVJ	2026-10-01	40	50	R+10.0
Change Research	Freedom Project USA	2026-09-27	47	48	R+1.0
Stetson University	None listed	2026-09-21	40	51	R+11.0
InsiderAdvantage	None listed	2026-09-21	42	49	R+7.0
St. Pete Polls	Florida Politics	2026-09-17	44.8	45.2	R+0.4
Quantus Insights	None listed	2026-09-10	43	50	R+7.0
Change Research	Freedom Project USA	2026-09-09	47	47	Even
University of North Florida	None listed	2026-07-17	42	50	R+8.0
Global Strategy Group	Alex Vindman	2026-05-21	—	46	—
Echelon Insights	NetChoice	2026-04-09	—	50	—
EDGE Communications and MDW Communications	None listed	2026-04-03	—	43	—
Emerson College (Moody v. Nixon)	None listed	2026-03-31	36	47	R+11.0
Emerson College (Moody v. Vindman)	None listed	2026-03-31	—	46	—
University of North Florida (includes Moody and Nixon)	None listed	2026-03-02	38	46	R+8.0
University of North Florida (includes Moody and Vindman)	None listed	2026-03-02	—	45	—

18 more Florida races on the full list.