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Tip the Scale Blue — election intelligence for 2026 progressives. Poll data from Ballotpedia. Ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections.

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New York 17th District · House

Cait Conley (D)vsMichael Lawler (R)

Election Day · Nov 3, 2026

Score updated Jul 14, 2026

Read more on Ballotpedia

344MONITOR

Priority Score Breakdown

Candidates

Cait Conley

Democrat

TN5

Michael Lawler

Republican· Incumbent

Progressive votes: 11.11%

War Chest (FEC)

Conley

$941k

Lawler

$4.4M

Cash on hand, most recent FEC filing.

Expert Ratings

Cook PoliticalCookToss-Up

Sabato's Crystal BallSabatoLean R

Inside ElectionsIEToss-Up

New York house — Score 344 | Tip the Scale Blue