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Races Methodology About

Races Methodology About

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Tip the Scale Blue — election intelligence for 2026 progressives. Poll data from Ballotpedia. Ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections.

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Wisconsin 3rd District · House

Rustin Provance (Ind.)vsJayte Welch (Ind.)+1 other

D primary · Aug 11R primary · Aug 11

Score updated Jul 14, 2026

Read more on Ballotpedia

236MONITOR

Priority Score Breakdown

Candidates

Rustin Provance

Independent

Jayte Welch

Independent

Alexander Valiensi Kent

Independent

Primary Candidates

Democratic Primary · Aug 11

Emily Berge

Rebecca Cooke

RFALOCV

Republican Primary · Aug 11

Derrick Van Orden

Expert Ratings

Cook PoliticalCookToss-Up

Sabato's Crystal BallSabatoToss-Up

Inside ElectionsIEToss-Up

Wisconsin house — Score 236 | Tip the Scale Blue